The Bolivian Government's India Mining Deal: Who Says Socialists Can't Be Smart Capitalists?
Watchers of the new government's economic maneuverings have been keeping an eye on this one – negotiations with the Indian mining giant, Jindal Steel and Power, over the joint development of one of the world's largest iron ore deposits at El Mutun. After weeks in which it looked like the deal might well fall through, yesterday the company and the government announced agreement on a final accord. Jindal will invest $2 billion over the course of the next 7 to 8 years and the two sides will split profits from the mine 50/50. Here is the coverage of the deal in today's Los Tiempos (Cochabamba daily).
The deal is important news for two reasons.
First it solidifies that the world of potential foreign investors in Bolivia has moved well beyond the traditional players from its South American neighbors, the US, and Europe. The Asian investment door is not a piece of election campaign rhetoric; it is real (though the dream deal to market Bolivian coca tea to China is probably a little more elusive).
Second, it shows that the Bolivian government is neither naïve nor crazy to deal hard with foreign investors. That is capitalism played the smart way and, as far as this deal is concerned, it showed that new-to-governing socialists are capable of playing that game a lot more ably than the foreign-educated supposed economic whiz kids under Goni, Banzer, and Quiroga who got rolled in similar negotiations. One need only compare MAS' Jindal deal with Goni's "18% is fine thank you" gas deals a decade ago.
The deal is important news for two reasons.
First it solidifies that the world of potential foreign investors in Bolivia has moved well beyond the traditional players from its South American neighbors, the US, and Europe. The Asian investment door is not a piece of election campaign rhetoric; it is real (though the dream deal to market Bolivian coca tea to China is probably a little more elusive).
Second, it shows that the Bolivian government is neither naïve nor crazy to deal hard with foreign investors. That is capitalism played the smart way and, as far as this deal is concerned, it showed that new-to-governing socialists are capable of playing that game a lot more ably than the foreign-educated supposed economic whiz kids under Goni, Banzer, and Quiroga who got rolled in similar negotiations. One need only compare MAS' Jindal deal with Goni's "18% is fine thank you" gas deals a decade ago.

The Democracy Center, based in Cochabamba Bolivia and San Francisco California, works globally to advance human rights through a combination of investigation and reporting, training citizens in the art of public advocacy, and organizing international citizen campaigns. If you like the Blog, consider becoming a subscriber to The Democracy Center's free e-newsletter by sending us an email at 
31 Comments:
You are a hypocrite Schultz. Quit trying to sugarcoat this bullshit. Read Evo's proposed constitution and then STFU
Just goes to show, you can't make some people happy. You think Evo should have gotten 60%? Why such hostility my friend? Not good for the heart you know.
if you read the fine print of the contract you'll learn that the Jindal will pay even less than 18% There other even more ridiculous clauses in the contract
To the anonymous commenter above:
My post was based on the published comments of the government and the company and the Bolivian press' coverage of the agreement. I haven't studied the actual contract. So if you have access to it and can share some deeper analysis here that would be great.
Thanks,
Jim Shultz
It has been on the news for weeks. May be you are just reading the official press releases and not doing real research.
Just today there was an article that shows that Bolivia will be paying Jindal US$30MM to US130MM to exploit the Mutun.
Dear Anonymous,
The numbers here are important and I think our readers are interested in hard facts. So far, what you are asking us to do is to believe someone posting anonymously based on nothing more than "an article" which you don't cite.
If the figures you list are accurate could you please list a citation for them that others can verify. That would seem a more reliable way for us all to know the facts in this case. Do you have access to the contract directly?
Thanks,
Jim Shultz
La Razon #1
La Razon #2
What I would really like to know to is the source of Mr. Ric's fortune ($US40MM,) the chief negotiator and Minister of Public Works, the only comment I've heard about him in the business community is that he is not kosher.
La Razon #2
People are just waking up to the reality that Socialists not good businessmen
Why so quiet Jim? Cat eat your keyboard or are you still waiting for MAS to tell you what to think?
La licitación del Mutún
Rolando Morales Anaya*
Corresponde sugerir a las autoridades de gobierno reconsiderar desde sus inicios el proceso de licitación del Mutún debido a razones legales y también técnico-económicas. Entre las razones legales, se encuentra el importante hecho de que se ha dado curso a esta licitación sobre la base de una sola propuesta y no de tres, por lo menos, como señala la norma legal vigente. Por otra parte, según declaraciones del ministro de Obras Públicas, Servicios y Vivienda, Salvador Ric, “para calificar con el sobre B1 se necesitaban 75 puntos y la Jindal sólo sumaba 52”. El ministro Ric también denunció las presiones de las cuales fueron víctimas en Santa Cruz por parte de las autoridades y de los pobladores de Puerto Suárez, empujados por la propia empresa Jindal. También denunció que esta empresa montó una empresa fantasma llamada Mital para aparentar que había otros interesados en esta licitación. El gobierno terminó concediendo 60 días suplementarios a Jindal para “mejorar” su oferta; esta medida está completamente fuera de la ley, pues debía haber llamado a una nueva licitación desde el momento en que había un solo proponente y que no calificaba.
Por otra parte, la ministra de Producción y Microempresa, Celinda Sosa, declaró en la televisión que el gobierno no ha tenido acceso a ningún estudio de prefactibilidad antes de tomar la decisión con relación a la Jindal. El último estudio de factibilidad que se hizo para la explotación del Mutún fue realizado a comienzos de la década de los noventa por una consultora brasilera de nombre Cobrapi bajo la tuición y supervisión de Sidersa. Se concluyó en esa época que esta explotación, a pesar de la riqueza de los yacimientos, no era rentable ni conveniente por las razones siguientes: a) El consumo de hierro en Bolivia alcanzaba sólo a las 16 mil toneladas y era imposible exportar debido a los subsidios que los grandes países ofrecían a sus industrias por razones de seguridad nacional b) La China vendía (y vende) en el mercado nacional a precios imposibles de competir, c) La producción con gas, frente a la producción con carbón vegetal (alternativa recomendada por la consultora) era muy onerosa, d) La calidad del material, rica en fósforo, encarecía los costos de producción con relación a las explotaciones de otros yacimientos. Sin duda, las condiciones económicas y tecnológicas se han modificado desde esa época, pero ¿dónde está el estudio de factibilidad que muestre los cambios ocurridos?, ¿el poco interés internacional suscitado por la licitación del Mutún se explica por perspectivas pesimistas sobre su rentabilidad económica?, ¿no hubiese sido más racional que previamente a la licitación, el gobierno instruya la realización de un estudio de factibilidad?
La oferta de Jindal prevé la producción de 1,7 millones de toneladas de acero, ¿existe algún estudio sobre el destino de la producción que supera más de 80 veces el consumo nacional? La Jindal invertiría 2.300 millones de dólares, tendría una ganancia de 200 millones de dólares y entregará una suma similar a Bolivia. Para Jindal, la tasa de rentabilidad sería de 8,7 por ciento anual, lo que es sorprendentemente bajo para una inversión en minería. Luego, queda a preguntarse ¿cómo es posible que Jindal Steel and Power esté dispuesta a invertir en este sector con una perspectiva tan pesimista de ganancia?, ¿hay alguna carta debajo de la mesa?, quizás la respuesta esté en la hipótesis lanzada por Roberto Laserna que lo que interesa a la Jindal es básicamente el hecho de que Bolivia le vendería el gas a mitad del precio que recibe de la Argentina.
El Gobierno no ha pensado asignar al Tesoro General de la Nación ni un solo centavo de las futuras ganancias de esta inversión. Alguna autoridad declaró que se beneficiará con los impuestos, mas, todos pagamos impuestos, a no ser que el acuerdo preliminar prevea impuestos específicos a este sector, con lo cual la tasa de rentabilidad caerá más aún.
Por todo esto, cabe sugerir al Gobierno revisar su decisión en lo que se refiere a la adjudicación del Mutún; si se reinicia el proceso, sería conveniente convocar a los profesionales bolivianos que participaron en los estudios previos para que orienten a los tomadores de decisión en esta materia.
*Rolando Morales Anaya
es doctor en Economía.
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