Wednesday, October 25, 2006

Bolivia on the UN Security Council?

It may well turnout to be one of those stories that fizzles out almost as it began – but for the moment there seems to be a tiny possibility that Bolivia, the land of llamas, street protests and Evo, might be elected to a position on the UN Security Council. Here's the tale.

Alongside the permanent Council members – the US, UK, China, France and Russia – there are another ten "non-permanent members" elected by region. For weeks Guatemala (a US ally) and Venezuela (let's say, not a US ally) have been battling it out in more than 35 votes, with no side winning the requisite majority.

If Venezuela (which has trailed its Central American competitor) ever had a shot at winning, that shot certainly evaporated with President Hugo Chavez's "Bush is the devil and I still smell sulfur at the podium" speech. Hence a nice reminder that sometimes in politics being in love with your rhetoric is not exactly a ticket to win friends.

So yesterday the Venezuelan government accepted reality and threw its formidable support behind an alternative candidate for the seat, Bolivia. When Evo Morales followed in Chavez's footsteps to the UN podium he was much more polite and later, when asked about the Sulfur Speech, said he thought it was wrong to get so personal. I doubt that is enough to get the US and other Morales non-friends to say, "Hey, that fellow in the sweater is a hell of a nice guy, how about a seat on the Council." But Bolivia is now one of the alternatives in play, along with Costa Rica, Uruguay and Chile.

Now, I am not sure that Bolivia actually has a permanent ambassador yet at the UN, and certainly there will be doubters who ask, "What does Bolivia have to add to the weighty global debates before the Security Council?" But, actually, Bolivian membership on the Council could be a breath of political fresh air, depending on how it is handled.

For example, I'd like to see the new government take the key Council decisions and put them before the Bolivian people for debate. I am imagining a gathering in the Central Plaza in Cochabamba, where government officials solicit public input from gathered crowds about how to deal with, say, North Korea's detonation of a nuclear bomb.

A man in a black felt hat and worn sandals yells out, "What do they need a bomb for anyway? Who are they going to bomb, the US. Then they get blown up. Tell them to put the money into food. Caramba!"

One of the women selling fresh squeezed orange juice looks up from her cart and yells out, "Of course they want a bomb. You have a bomb no one invades you."

"Hey, if we had a bomb Chile would have to give us access to the sea, no?" yells out an old man with a cane and a hearing aid. "Tell Evo we want one. We'll give those Koreans gas."

A young woman from a university student's activist group chimes in, "No one should have the bomb. Tell the UN to take them away from the US and Russia. Their war makers, all of them."

Finally a grandmotherly woman stands up from a bench. The young man with her (probably her grandson) tells the crowd that the woman in gray braids and white straw hat wants to speak. She's the kind of woman one sees in neighborhoods on Sunday afternoons yelling at drunken young men and telling them to stop fighting.

"Señor," she asks the government representative, "You will see the President on this, no?"

"Si Señora."

"Tell them all to just stop it, the grandmothers are tired of breaking it up."

20 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hope it happens, however we should use the seat to be intermediaries an promote cooperation and compromise and not have Evo bloqueando Security Council resolutions. A good role would definately add to the possibility of sea access.

9:06 PM  
Blogger Bolivia Rising said...

For a feel of what Bolivia could bring to the UN check out Evo's speech at the General Assembly post at http://boliviarising.blogspot.com
The url for the speech is http://boliviarising.blogspot.com/2006/09/evo-at-un-speech-delivered-by.html

11:18 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Morales is Chavez's puppet. He says he will 'fight to the death' for the brutal Venezuelan dictator and already has allowed Venezuelan oil men to paw through expropriated energy resources and Venezuelan military men, with insignia on, to set up bases on Bolivia's borders, nearly two dozen bases from which to intimidate Bolivia's neighbors. Morales is dependent on aid and produces nothing of value on his own. He doesn't even create the conditions for his countrymen to produce value - all the foreign investment in the country is fleeing. Morales is Mister Capital Flight, he's so bad. Everyone knows that Morales will take orders from his Master In Caracas if he's up there on the Security Council. We can already see that happening because every time Morales hints at straying from the Chavista party line, he gets a phone call from Caracas and immediately changes his story to something more to Uncle Hugo's liking. He's a pawn of Chavez's, he doesn't do things that displease Chavez. He is modeling his 'revolution' completely on the Chavez consolidation of power template. He has no mind of his own other than his desire for absolute power. While he has some 'Indian chic' cachet among the radical chic set over in Manhattan at the Clintonian white wine parties, he's no different from Chavez and is unlikely to do anything without Chavez's permission. Morales is no compromise candidate, he's just pure puppetry from The Caracas Thug.

2:48 AM  
Blogger mcentellas said...

In all honesty -- regardless of whether Bolivia as a UNSC member would be a "breath of fresh air" or not -- it's not going to happen. Not only did Venezuela not get the required two thirds majority needed to win the seat, it lost (by 109-76) to US-backed Guatemala. If that many member states voted *against* Venezuela, why would they turn around and vote *for* a Venezuela-backed candidate? Especially when Evo regularly refers to Chavez as "Comandante" (which, frankly, speaks of a subservient relationship and is both unstatesmanlike for a head of state and just bad PR).

I think Uruguay will win the seat, perhaps even as a consideration to not leave Mercosur. The move would still give the seat to a South American (rather than a Central American) state. And it would go to a country with a long (and distinguished) tradition in international diplomacy. Chile & Costa Rica are good runners up. But, Bolivia? So far I've only seen Venezuela make the nomination. Is anyone else (as a UN member state) giving this idea legs? At least three other major powers will have to speak in favor of Bolivia (as opposed to the other candidates) for the notion to even go beyond a Chavez soundbite.

11:25 AM  
Blogger mcentellas said...

That last bit in the interview presented speaks volumes of the plight of Bolivia. Every minor problem -- such as drunken fights in the market -- are considered worthy of presidential attention. I've seen countless demonstrations in front of the Palacio Quemado by school parents protesting that their children weren't admitted into this or that private school, etc. Too many Bolivians have come to believe that all the minor problems in society should be answered by central government. I don't mean issues like unemployment, poverty-reduction, health care, etc. I mean personal, individual, non-collective problems. It speaks to a lack of personal accountability, personal responsibility, and a sort of fatalism & belief in all-powerful messianic leadership that's troubling.

11:29 AM  
Anonymous Pascal's_Revenge said...

Mcentellas, you sure are a wet blanket, taking a nice bit of sentimental fiction on Jim's part and turning it into a frank assessment of some of Bolivia's most deep-seated problems. (And of course, you've nailed it on the head.)

7:11 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

"Too many Bolivians have come to believe that all the minor problems in society should be answered by central government."

And seriously, we all realize this was taught during the past ten years of Evo's tenure as opposition leader. Now it's coming back to bite him.

6:50 AM  
Blogger mcentellas said...

Well, actually, this kind of fatalism & belief in presidential power as a solution to personal problems is far, far older than Evo. The roots go back as far as the Busch & Villarroel regimes and the origins of modern Bolivian populism in the 1930s-1940s.

Remember that the legacy of paternalistic leadership, clientelism, and caudillismo is very, very strong in Bolivia. And goes back decades. Sure, Evo hasn't worked to change that culture, but neither has anyone else (not really, at least).

11:35 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Uruguay is not the worst country out there but it actually did vote for the sulphur speech contender and that calls to mind what kind of judgment it has. Also, it has accepted numerous gifts from the president of Venezuela which automatically put it in Venezuela's debt - everything from hospital construction to airline bailouts - it's really a lot. For that reason, I don't see Uruguay as a disinterested party in this. If anyone should be the nominee, it should not be someone beholden to the minority vote-getter in this contest.

11:33 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Viva Panamá!

4:46 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Bolivia is always a day late, and a dollar short. Any country Chavez would want in the UN would never be voted for, least not and in last place Bolivia.

Bolivians are always thinking of what could of been, should of been, but never is. Sure I would like to see a President of Bolivia in the UN, just not Avo. He cant even tie his shoe with out asking Uncle Chavez.

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