Monday, August 18, 2008

Perspectives on Bolivia: Some Writings by Others

Readers:

In the week since Sunday’s election a good deal of valuable analysis has been written, all from a different perspective, none of it sole owner of ‘the truth’ (including my own), and much of it worth reading.

We thought we would offer introductions and links to four of these – most from friends but not all. I am sure that others know additional sources and we hope you will provide links below in the comments section.

Jim Shultz


The Street and the Ballot Box: Voices From Bolivia's Recall Vote
Alex van Schaick, Luis Gonzales and Teresa Carrasco

Published by Upside Down World, a web site that works hard and provides a solid collection of articles on not just Bolivia but Latin America as a whole (edited by our friend Ben Dangl).

Cochabamba, Bolivia - On August 10, leftist President Evo Morales, won a resounding victory in Bolivia's recall referendum. The vote invigorated Morales' mandate in what was a broad endorsement from his base and beyond. As Toribio Terrazas, a farmer from outside Comunidad Mamenaca explained, "I want the president to continue because he is forging a good path for all Bolivians in the country."

In the week before the recall referendum, and on the day of the voting, we interviewed number of voters, and political and social movement leaders about the importance of the referendum, the changes it might produce, and what they thought about president Evo Morales and prefect Manfred Reyes Villa.

Article, interviews & photos here.


Putting the Political Battle in Context
Mark Weisbrot and Luis Sandoval

Published by The Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR), a solid research organization based in Washington that marries technical investigations with a progressive perspective, and a special interest in Latin America.

This past Sunday’s recall referendum was of course just the latest episode in the ongoing political battle between the MAS-led national government and an opposition movement in the Eastern lowlands that counts several prefects among its members. But what’s this struggle all about?

Control over resources, including land and natural gas deposits, is at the heart of it, according to a new paper from the Center for Economic and Policy Research in Washington. The paper, “The Distribution of Bolivia's Most Important Natural Resources and the Autonomy Conflicts, shows that the concentration of land in Bolivia - among a very small group of landowners - appears to be among the very worst in the entire world. The paper also notes that even though Bolivia distributes its hydrocarbon revenues more than any in the world to provincial and local governments, the Eastern lowland states are advocating that they should receive even more of this money.

Read the full paper here.


"Change Comes from Mobilization,” An Interview with Oscar Olivera
Interview conducted by Sarah Hines

Published by the Socialist Worker, which offers a socialist analysis of issues and events often ignored by the mainstream media but still vitally important.

An August 10 recall referendum confirmed Bolivian President Evo Morales' tenure in office with a 68 percent vote--but also saw right-wing prefects, or governors, win big in four eastern departments that have been pushing for autonomy.

Meanwhile, the problems facing ordinary Bolivians remain unsolved, according to Oscar Olivera, the Secretary General of the Federation of Factory Workers of Cochabamba. Sarah Hines interviewed Olivera in Cochabamba shortly before the referendum vote.

What is the significance of the recall referendum?

The recall referendum--a measure that we have demanded for a long time--can mean a deepening of democracy. When the Water War took place here in Cochabamba in 2003, we organized a referendum around the issue to allow the rank and file to make their voice heard regarding this imposition [of the privatization of water] by the government.
At that time, the referendum was illegal--it was not thought of as a democratic norm. I believe that a referendum serves to deepen democracy a bit more, in that the citizens are asked once in a while if the rulers are doing their job well. But I see it as having more of a symbolic value than being useful as such. While a referendum can be a signal from the people, I believe the only way to change how the politicians govern is the mobilization of the people.

Read the full interview here.


Everybody Loses
New York Times Editorial

All sides are claiming victory in last weekend’s competing referenda to recall the Bolivian president, Evo Morales, and rival governors. But the continuing political warfare is leading the country to a destructive impasse.

More than two-thirds of Bolivians voted to keep Mr. Morales in power. His four main rivals in the gas-rich eastern lowlands also won by large margins. Mr. Morales claims that he now has the mandate to call a national referendum on constitutional reforms that would give even more power to the presidency and allow him to seek another term. All four governors have rejected those changes and insist that their wins mean they must now be given more autonomy.

The proposed reforms are already legally dubious. Virtually all opposition delegates were excluded from the constitutional assembly proceedings that approved the changes. Before the recall election, protesters blocked Mr. Morales from visiting the provinces of Tarija and Santa Cruz.

Read the editorial here.

30 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Now...for the sake of being Fair and Balanced:

Bolivia's Morales Restarts Overhaul
By JOHN LYONS
August 12, 2008; Page A12

LA PAZ, Bolivia -- President Evo Morales jump-started a stalled drive to rewrite the nation's constitution a day after a national referendum reaffirmed his mandate, a move likely to inflame relations with conservative provinces seeking autonomy from the central government.

"We should start 2009...by calling a referendum on whether to approve the state's new constitution policy," Bolivian Minister of Government Juan Ramon Quintana said Monday, according to Reuters.

Bolivia, South America's poorest nation, is in an increasingly violent political stand-off. Mr. Morales, an Aymara Indian, is seeking to remake the country along socialist lines with a new constitution aimed at lifting its mainly poor, indigenous population. That vision is hamstrung by an autonomy movement in economically crucial provinces, where Mr. Morales is seen as an authoritarian whose constitution is a recipe for economic ruin.

In a national referendum Sunday that some hoped might break a political stalemate, both Mr. Morales and his chief rivals in the provinces were reaffirmed in their posts, entrenching the stand-off.

The results provide a snapshot of Bolivia's deadlocked political landscape: Mr. Morales won 62% of the electorate, which is mainly concentrated in high-altitude indigenous villages. But he was rejected by more than half of voters in five eastern provinces -- four of which have already declared they will detach from the central government.

While some had hoped the two sides would seek a compromise after the vote, the reverse seems to be happening. State leaders are vowing to push ahead with plans to detach from the central government, while Mr. Morales is moving forward with the constitutional rewrite.

The new constitution redefines private property, grants special rights based on indigenous ethnicity, centralizes more economic power in the presidency and would let Mr. Morales be re-elected. Critics say Mr. Morales will use it to seize farmlands and nationalize more companies while remaining in office indefinitely.

There are other potential flashpoints for conflict in the wake of the vote. The governor of Cochabamba, the scene of fierce street battles last year, was voted out of office in the referendum. But he has vowed not to step down because he views the vote as unconstitutional. Observers are bracing for more clashes when the Morales government seeks to replace him.

Bolivia's stability matters for the region. It is a major supplier of coca leaves to the cocaine trade, and instability could undermine antidrug efforts. Brazil and Argentina, and by extension Chile, also depend on Bolivia for its natural-gas reserves. Mr. Morales is a key ally of the region's chief U.S. adversary, Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez.

Write to John Lyons at john.lyons@wsj.com




Now, I'm shocked that Jim did not write an eulogy for PODEMOS, but I guess they became so irrelevant that they don't deserve one.

3:09 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

http://incakolanews.blogspot.com/2008/08/bolivia-recall-referendum-final-numbers.html

worth reading

3:30 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

John Lyons (whoever he is) needs to catch up.
In the final tally, Morales has over 67 per cent approval.
While it´s true that his support is strongest in the west, to describe it as mainly in "high-altitude indigenous villages" is misleading. As well as a decisive majority in Cochabamba, he got over 50 per cent in Chuquisaca and in Pando (part of the "Media Luna"), very close to 50 per cent in Tarija (also "Medio Lunático"), and nearly 40 per cent even in Santa Cruz.
In any case, the vote of an inhabitant of a "high-altitude indigenous village" is - or should be - worth as much as that of a landowner in Santa Cruz, and if there are more of them then the majority counts. It´s known as "democracy".
Why not say that opposition support is limited to three or four cities, mainly in the lowlands, and the posh suburbs of La Paz and Cochabamba?

4:59 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Another analysis from a non-socialist publication (although the British are pretty much communists if you ask me)

Evo’s big win
Aug 14th 2008 | LA PAZ
From The Economist print edition

A recall referendum strengthens the socialist president, but fails to knock out his opponents in a still-divided country

Reuters
THE jubilant crowds, hanting “Evo, brother, the people are with you”, that gathered in front of Bolivia’s presidential palace on August 10th appeared to sense that their country’s socialist president had notched up an important victory in a recall referendum that might have seen him chucked out of office after just 30 months. And so it proved: with 96% of the ballots counted, Evo Morales and his vice-president, Alvaro García Linera, had won the backing of 68% of the voters, substantially more than the 54% they gained in the presidential election of December 2005. A high turnout (of 84%) meant that, all in all, the referendum amounted to a resounding endorsement of Mr Morales, an ally of Venezuela’s Hugo Chávez, and his plans to “refound” Bolivia.

For the past year or so Bolivia, a poor country with South America’s second-biggest gas reserves, has been deadlocked by a power struggle between Mr Morales and the elected governors of the country’s eastern regions. Mr Morales, a former coca-workers leader of Aymara Indian descent, wants a new constitution that would strengthen presidential powers, embed a state-led socialist economy and give more power to the traditional communal leaders of Bolivia’s Amerindians. He has much support in the poorer, western part of the country, where he won over 80% of the vote. He is fiercely opposed by the governors of the more prosperous eastern lowlands, whose soya farms and natural-gas fields provide much of the country’s wealth. They see Mr Morales as bent on exploiting racial divisions to impose authoritarian socialism on the country, and as driving away foreign investment.

In the referendum voters were asked to cast judgment, too, on their local prefects, as the elected departmental governors are called. Two of Mr Morales’s opponents, in La Paz and Cochabamba, were ousted. (They will be replaced with presidential appointees.) But the four eastern governors—of Santa Cruz, Bolivia’s business capital; Tarija, the site of the main gasfields; and sparsely populated Beni and Pando—also secured strong new mandates, winning a higher share of the vote than when they were originally elected. Rubén Costas, the governor of Santa Cruz, almost matched the president, winning 64% of the vote there. In unofficial referendums in recent months, residents of these four departments have strongly backed regional autonomy. This opposition front now has the support of the newly elected governor of a fifth department, Chuquisaca.

So the referendum did not give Mr Morales what he most hoped for: a weakening of the eastern block. Nevertheless, he has come close to breaking Bolivia’s deadlock. His victory owes much to his decision to tighten state control over oil and gas, which has bumped up government revenues, allowing him to launch new anti-poverty programmes. Most Bolivians are of at least partly Indian descent; many of them identify with Mr Morales as one of their own. In the run-up to the referendum, the president lambasted his opponents as “racists” and “fascists”.

But support for the president also owes much to the weakness of traditional political parties, which are widely seen as corrupt and self-serving. “Bolivians are very pragmatic, there is no alternative national leader, they only had a choice between Evo or a vacuum of leadership,” says Javier Gómez of CEDLA, an NGO.

His victory opens the way for Mr Morales to secure approval of the new constitution, in a separate referendum which might be held early next year. But this week’s vote also laid bare the depth of Bolivia’s regional divide. In the days before it, demonstrators occupied airports to prevent Mr Morales visiting opposition-run cities. Miners, once loyal to him, clashed with police in protests over pensions. These groups are unlikely to remain quiet.

This week Mr Morales called for talks with the opposition. “The people’s participation in the recall vote requires us to get together,” he said. Mr García Linera, the government’s chief negotiator, suggested that the new constitutional draft be amended to include regional autonomy and elected local assemblies.

On August 13th, some of the opposition governors held a preliminary meeting with the president. Compromise will not be easy. The trickiest issue concerns the share-out of gas revenues. Traditionally, a large chunk went to the regions with the gasfields, but Mr Morales has diverted some of this money to pay for his social programmes. In Santa Cruz, Mr Costas this week began a hunger strike to demand its return. If formal talks do get under way, Mr Morales will now be able to bargain from a position of much greater strength.

5:10 PM  
Anonymous I Crause said...

I saw the NY Times where it printed'Virtually all opposition delegates were excluded from the constitutional assembly proceedings that approved the changes', and I thought to myself "was that the time that the right wing mob attacked the parliament building in Sucre and threatened the lawmakers, killing two if I remember correctly?Maybe it was just the one."
And by 'the opposition was excluded', were they then referring to the fact that due to this explosion of violence the Bolivan government decided, refusing to be railroaded by what are in part neo-fascist gangs, to continue holding the constituyente in a military building under the armed guard of the Bolivian state, so that no more were attacked or killed'?And by them being 'excluded', were they referring to the bit whereby most opposition deputies, many of whom had tried to sabotage proceedings from the off, immediately cried foul and refused to continue the process because it would be taking place outside of the parliament building, effectively finishing the job the mob had started, i.e. that of sabotaging the new constituency by any means necessary?
But then I would think that.I'm British and therefore a Communist.
My Britishness does have it's upside, however.It allows me to call you things like a Pillock or a Poltroon.

8:25 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I thought Morales was a quechua indian and not an aymara?

Can someone clairfy, or are they pretty much the same thing.

9:08 PM  
Anonymous don said...

This is a bit off topic, but for those of you who are interested in cholita wrestlers, check this out:

http://ngm.nationalgeographic.com/2008/09/wrestlers/guillermoprieto-text

10:09 PM  
Blogger Norman said...

I Crause, rather than try to come up with a sarcastic zinger (which I tend to do too often), could you point out for me where the right wing mob killed one or two lawmakers in Sucre? I tried the newspaper archives and Jim's previous blog posts and couldn't find it. I'm afraid my memory of events differs from your post. Thanks.

10:31 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

poltroon (plural poltroons)

An ignoble or arrant coward; a dastard; a craven; a mean-spirited wretch.

[edit] TranslationsSpanish: cobarde m. and f.

[edit] Adjective poltroon

Cowardly

[edit] Quotations1926 Accordingly, to excuse our deliberate inactivity in the north, we had to make a show of impotence, which gave them to understand that the Arabs were too poltroon to cut the line near Maan and keep it cut. - T. E. Lawrence, Seven Pillars of Wisdom

11:42 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

What was that? Nice chinese (or japanese?) characters. Talk about reaching your audience!

Well, to clarify someone´s question about the origins of Mr. Evo Morales. He is of aymaran descent, although the region where he comes from (Orinoca, Oruro) also has influence from urus and quechua culture. The difference? Aymara culture is mainly from the highlands and was always independent from other cultures that tried to govern them. The aymaras were allies to the Incas during conquest of various regions in the southern part of the Empire. Quechuas on the other hand are the bulk of the Incan Empire. Some say that Inca Emperors also spoke aymara or were aymaras themselves. Please check out these titles: http://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Imperio_Inca
An interesting novel to understand more about these cultures: El Cetro del Inca, Iván Zegada.
Cheers.

2:51 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

"Fox News Norman" whose motto is apparently that if he "didn't read it in El Deber, El Mundo, Jim's Blog or see it on Unitel than it did not happen" wrote:
"the right wing mob killed one or two lawmakers in Sucre? I tried the newspaper archives and Jim's previous blog posts and couldn't find it.

Below is the link to Clarin's account and PHOTO of Ramon Loayza's fall into the orchestra pit. According to news reports, it put him near death. The right wingers claimed he fell "by himself" and denied pushing him toward death.

Other MAS members were injured (including a lady whose spine was fractured) in the violence directed at them by PODEMOS members, Sucre civicos and local hooligans of the UCJ type.

http://www.clarin.com/diario/2006/09/02/elmundo/i-03415.htm

4:30 PM  
Blogger Norman said...

Anon, Mr. Crause clearly said that one or two people were killed by the right wing. You provide an example from 14 months prior (covered extensively by El Deber BTW) of a single injury where it is not where even your source does clearly not assign blame. Anon, I checked multiple sources to include El Deber, ABI and other sources both pro- and anti- government. I could not verify Mr. Crause’s claim. Apparently neither could you. My point then is that Mr. Crause might have been better served had he stuck to the facts rather than embellishing. All delegates, to include the opposition delegates, were elected by their constituency to represent them. In November 2007 the opposition constituency was denied representation by their delegates when a MAS mob formed a gauntlet outside a location of let's say questionable legality. The opposition wisely opted not to attempt to breach the gauntlet; they would have been pummeled for the attempt. If you think I'm exaggerating, then look to the legislative session that followed in La Paz where the opposition lawmakers were physically excluded and beaten for attempting to represent their respective constituency. Mr. Crause could have made his point without compromising the truth, but his version is more dramatic.

That aside, I'm pretty certain that the illegaly passed proposed constitution will become law this year as there still is no consitutional tribunal seated to hear complaints. Once again, that great philosophy of the ends justifying the means.

7:32 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Cuchi Cuchi worshipper, for all his jive of being an original Indian, has a first and last name from Spain. He can't even speak a native Bolivian language, by the Ekeko!

At least Goni could communicate somewhat in Quechua and Aymara while compaigning.

;-)

The Croats are Morales' Jews
Beni is Morales' Katrina

9:30 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Crooked Face,

Since you love men in uniform and it's been a while since you were "hooking up" in San Diego, here's a hot tip: The fleet is in at Callao, Peru.

11:04 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

EVO won, the croats and nazis are crying without hope after they realized that are loosers and tugs.

Kindergarteen all over again. Costas, Maricon vick take your toys and go home to Europe.

11:58 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Goni and Costas, what a pair. A cleptomaniac and a little psychopat.

Costas is mentally sick, he suffers the Hitler-Stalin illness. He even looks like them.

Goni is just a simple thief.

Marinkovick is just a criminal racist thief.

Put them all in jail, NOW.

12:50 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Obama's ship seems to be s(t)inking.

That being said, it's more than 2 months from the election, which is an eternity in politics.

"In a sharp turnaround, Republican John McCain has opened a 5-point lead on Democrat Barack Obama in the U.S. presidential race and is seen as a stronger manager of the economy, according to a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Wednesday.

McCain leads Obama among likely U.S. voters by 46 percent to 41 percent, wiping out Obama's solid 7-point advantage in July and taking his first lead in the monthly Reuters/Zogby poll."


http://www.reuters.com/article/politicsNews/idUKN1948672420080820?sp=true

;-)

The Croats are Morales' Jews
Beni is Morales' Katrina

7:58 AM  
Blogger bowsie said...

The New York Times really is a dishonest publication.

11:50 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

bowsie said..."The New York Times really is a dishonest publication."

America is dishonest.

Why fight the coverups. If you can't beat them, join them. I can't wait till Bush, ummm, I mean McCain is elected. With 12 years of Republican rule, I haven't had this much fun since I was a kid visiting the White House late at night. If Obama can't put away the old fart, happy times will be here again:
http://www.thelawparty.com/FranklinCoverup/franklin.htm

;-)
The Croats are Morales' Jews
Beni is Morales' Katrina

1:15 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Crooked Face,

Your messages are a call for help. Go and get help. Sitting in a sweaty chair all summer long and then dashing to put on your Mizuno's for your bizarre role playing hobbies is not a healthy way to live.

I personally think that all that sitting around and posting (as the Democracy Center's forum bully) is short circuiting your brain. Your arse is now in control. That is the reason you have lines like "Shakespeare's English"... when commenting about the postings in Spanish- of course, this example is only the tip of the mountain of garbage your grubby fingers have typed.

5:43 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The above posting is mine.

Franco

5:45 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

This seemed an interesting analysis of the votes. Easy to read and with link to data and charts to make it all digestible for those visual learners in crowd.
http://boliviarising.blogspot.com/2008/08/bolivia-recall-referendum-final-numbers.html
-Caro

6:00 PM  
Blogger El Grindio said...

The Council on Hemispheric Affairs
is a nonprofit, tax-exempt independent research organization, that advances and increases:
1)common interests and visibility of regional issues; and
2) formulation of rational, constructive U.S. policies towards Latin America.

Here's their interesting, insightful and accurate take on Bolivia's crisis:

http://www.coha.org/2008/08/bolivia-in-crisis/

6:24 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Any response to the following:

http://www.lostiempos.com/noticias/21-08-08/21_08_08_nac7.php

Informe DDHH da cuenta de 27 muertos en gestión de Evo

En los primeros dos años de gobierno del presidente Evo Morales, 22 enero de 2006 al 31 diciembre 2007, se registraron 27 muertes, la misma cantidad que en el mandato constitucional del general Hugo Banzer, 6 agosto 1997 - 6 agosto 2001, según el informe "Impunidad: una práctica del poder. Violaciones a los derechos humanos en Bolivia 1970-2007", entregado ayer por el Observatorio de Derechos Humanos.

Hypocracy in action...

6:34 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Deaths during Banzer and Morales governments: another Anonymous asks for responses. here´s one:
What is missing is an analysis of the causes of death.
About 20 of the 27 fatalities during the Morales government relate to the incident in November 2007 at Huanuni. They occurred as a result of dynamite exchanges between rival groups of miners struggling for control of the mine.
Government was seriously remiss in not anticipating the confrontation and taking steps to prevent it, but the deaths were not caused by Government action or the security forces.
I don´t know what results a similar analysis of the Banzer government would produce.
Comparisons might also be made with the deaths during the Sánchez de Lozada government of 2002-2003.

9:05 AM  
Blogger El Grindio said...

Anon 6:34AM,
Thanks for the example of hypocrisy: your comment and selective quotation.

Your article wrote" el Ejecutivo no tuvo ninguna participación en el deceso de 16 personas en los enfrentamientos entre trabajadores en Huanuni, el 5 de octubre de 2006, tampoco con los tres fallecidos en Sucre, el 24 y 25 de noviembre de 2007, por las protestas contra el proyecto de nueva Constitución."

Further, that hack organization you quote from are true hypocrites: they criticize Ecuador, Bolivia and Venezuela but say nothing of Colombia, Peru or Mexico or those countries following Bush's model.

Here's an example of what a hypocrite you and that CIA front are:
"At least 280 people were reported to have been extrajudicially executed by members of the security forces in the 12-month period ending in June 2007."
http://thereport.amnesty.org/eng/Regions/Americas/Colombia

Bush/Uribe's Colombia provides impunity to state-sponsored assasins yet you attack Evo dispite the article admits no assasinations occurred?

2:59 PM  
Anonymous Carlitos said...

I really appreciated this post, and just wanted to say thanks. The interviews from Cochabamba were valuable, especially in showing what information sticks in the minds of the majority of voters come election day. And the analysis of the rural-urban divide was fascinating as well. Thanks for pointing out the articles.

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9:53 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

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4:23 AM  

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